Fears Of A Greek Default Rattles Stocks…

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) which is owed a payment of $1.6 billion euros walked out on Thursday’s meeting when both sides were attempting to negotiate a pact to save Greece from defaulting on its debts and prevent the country from heading into bankruptcy. This stalemate was enough to send global markets lower as well as our own. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (chart) closed Friday’s session down 140 points, the Nasdaq (chart) finished lower by 31 points, the S&P 500 (chart) lost almost 15 points and the small-cap Russell 2000 (chart) closed lower by almost 4 points. This type of uncertainty is never good for the markets especially when markets are essentially at all time highs. People are already a bit nervous that stocks may be overheated and should default chatter increase, this could set the wheels in motion for the “sell-off” certain pundits have been calling for.

This upcoming week the Fed will also hold its two day meeting as market participants will be watching closing to see if any of the Fed’s language will change pertaining to the state of the economy and interest rates. I do not think anyone is expecting too much from the FOMC at this meeting. If market volatility increases, I am quite sure it would be Greece related rather than what the Federal Reserve may or may not say out of their policy meeting.

Friday’s selling pressure did send both the Dow Jones Industrial Average (chart) and the S&P (chart) 500 below their respective 50-day moving averages which is where they also closed. For the past few weeks all of the aforementioned key indices have been flirting with their 50-day moving average and each time they crossed this key support line buyers came in taking the indexes back through this well defined metric. I think it’s too early to tell if what’s happening in the global macro picture will continue to effect our markets or if this is just another pause in our incessant bull market. Have a great week and good luck to all 🙂

~George

A Weak Week For Stocks…

Stocks closed out the final week of May on a softer note with the Dow Jones Industrial Average (chart) falling 221.34 points, the Nasdaq (chart) lost 19.33 points, the S&P 500 (chart) -18.67 points and the small-cap Russell 2000 (chart) closed the week lower by 5.69 points. Considering the record closing highs that have been set over the past month or so, its no surprise that equities took a bit of a breather.

Now that we are in the month of June, let’s see if this seemingly temporary pause turns into something more meaningful. The month of June historically is a unfavorable month for stocks and this year may be no different. In fact, in this trading week headline risks are abound. Internationally speaking, without a doubt Greece’s debt talks will continue to grab the attention of investors this week as well as the ECB’s central bank meeting. Here in the states, traders will continue to pay attention to the continuing strength of our dollar as well as May’s jobs report at the end of the week. As you can see there are plenty of catalysts that could become market moving events.

Technically speaking, the aforementioned indexes are finding support at their respective 50-day moving averages and none of these indices are in overbought or oversold territory according to the relative strength index (RSI). One technical point I do want to make is when stocks were setting records earlier in May, the volumes associated with those records were on the lighter side. As mentioned in my previous blog, my preference would of been to see these records being set with much stronger volume.

Have a great week and good luck in the month of June 🙂

~George