Month: January 2013

It’s parabolic!

Posted on by George Mahfouz

Stocks remain on fire in January as most of the major averages are hitting multi-year highs, and in some instances all time highs! For the week, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (chart) closed up 1.8%, the Nasdaq (chart) +0.48%, the S&P 500 (chart) +1.14% and the small-cap Russell 2000 (chart) finished the week higher by 1.39% and closing at an all time high. Once the S&P 500 was able to breakout and remain above the 1475 level, which had been a major resistance level, the money that had been sitting on the sidelines seemingly went to work. Also there has been a slow rotation out of bond funds and into stocks.

One would thing that a pullback of some sort is in the cards for equities. However, with earnings reporting season coming in better than expected so far, and the debt ceiling issue being pushed out, we may very well continue to see this upward trajectory for stocks at least in the short term. There could be one catalyst that may give the market a pause and that is next weeks jobs report. If the employment picture continues to remain weak, I would think that this could be a reason for stocks to take a breather.

In addition to the January jobs report released next week, we will also get earnings reports out of Caterpillar (NYSE: CAT), Yahoo (NasdaqGS: YHOO), Ford (NYSE: F), Amazon (Nasdaq: AMZN), Facebook (NasdaqGS: FB), Mastercard (NYSE: MA) and ExxonMobil (NYSE: XOM) just to name a few. Good luck to all.

Have a great weekend 🙂

~George

 

5 year high!

Posted on by George Mahfouz

Stocks continue to advance in the new year as the S&P 500 (chart) closed the week at a five year high. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (chart) finished the week up 0.40%, the Nasdaq (chart) +0.77% and the small-cap Russell 2000 (chart) added 0.19%. Furthermore, with the S&P 500 (chart) closing at 1472.05, all eyes will be watching next week to see if this key index can break and remain above the 1475 level which has been a key resistance level. However, next week a slew of companies are schedule to report their Q4 earnings results which most likely will be the catalyst to either break these markets out, or once again serve as a key resistance level.

Here are some of the companies that are scheduled to report next week: Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS), JPMorgan (NYSE: JPM), Ebay (NasdaqGS: EBAY), Bank of America (NYSE: BAC), Citigroup (NYSE: C) American Express (NYSE: AXP) UnitedHealth (NYSE: UNH) Intel (NasdaqGS: INTC) General Electric: NYSE: GE) and Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS). So as you can see the markets will have plenty to digest after these bellwether companies report their results. Most pundits believe that this indeed will provide what is needed for the markets to breakout and march towards new highs. Good luck to all.

Have a great weekend 🙂

~George  

Happy New Year!

Posted on by George Mahfouz

Despite all of the domestic and global political and economic uncertainties that persisted throughout 2012, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (chart) managed to gain 7.3% for the year, the Nasdaq (chart) soared 15.9%, the S&P 500 (chart) leaped by 13.4% and the small-cap Russell 2000 (chart) closed the year up notching a 14% gain. I think most investors and traders were caught off guard with the double digits gains that occurred in 2012, especially with the pending fiscal cliff dilemma that our country is facing. However, in the wee hours of this morning the Senate did overwhelmingly approve a bipartisan deal that is now headed over to the House for a vote. Here is what part of the revised deal looks like:

The new deal postpones for two months the start of $1.2 trillion in automatic spending cuts over 10 years, known as the “sequester.” For those two months, $24 billion in savings would be substituted. Half of those savings would be split between defense and non-defense programs. The other half includes new revenues.

Raises $600 billion in revenue over 10 years through a series of tax increases on wealthier Americans.

Permanently extends tax cuts made in 2001 by Republican President George W. Bush for income below $400,000 per individual, or $450,000 per family. Income above that level would be taxed at 39.6 percent, up from the current top rate of 35 percent.

Above that income threshold, capital gains and dividend tax rates would return to 20 percent from 15 percent.

Includes a permanent fix for the alternative minimum tax.

Extends child tax credit, earned income tax credit, and tuition tax credit for five years.

Extends unemployment insurance benefits for one year for 2 million people.

Avoids a cut in payments to doctors treating patients on Medicare – the so-called “doc fix.”

Temporarily extends farm programs.

So now we have to wait and see if the House of Representatives will pass this modified deal and hopefully we can get that answered today.

Have a very safe, healthy, prosperous and Happy New Year 🙂

All the best,

~George