Tesla Follows SpaceX…

Tesla follows SpaceX right into space! Tesla’s stock that is! (Nasdaq:TSLA). I am not sure if even Elon Musk thought that Tesla’s stock price would almost hit $1000 per share (see chart below) before its fundamentals warrant it. That’s right folks on February 4th Tesla hit an all-time high of $968.99 with an astounding parabolic move. This kind of stock behavior reminds me of the dot-com days where companies were trading in nose bleed territory without the fundamental backdrop to support the valuation. That said, without question the extremely large short position that has been put on Tesla has played a major role in the stock price spike. Tesla has long been one of the most shorted stocks on the Nasdaq which when stocks breakout of a trading range such as what happened to Tesla, and also having a significant short interest against it, then it’s the perfect set up for a major parabolic move.

With the stock still trading north of $800 per share, the company is not missing out on their next financing. To close the week out, Telsa took advantage of their recent stock price surge to price a $2 Billion secondary offering at $767 per share. I mean brilliant move for a company that continues to experience sporadic growth and still demands cash in order to hit their objectives. The potential problem I see is how can the Tesla a stock hold up at this crazy valuation? No question the short sellers covering their positions was a big part of this recent parabolic move. So the question now is who and what will drive the price higher? What’s more is who and what is going to support a $150 Billion dollar valuation? There are some analysts that are on their soapboxes with new buy recommendations and new target prices in the $1,000’s. So just maybe this will be enough to keep the stock up until the company catches up to its current valuation.

Good luck to all 🙂

~George

Tesla Follows SpaceX - Paula Mahfouz

 

Coronavirus Hits Stocks!

The coronavirus hit stocks and major indexes this week as fear grips investors. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (see chart here) fell over 600 points yesterday, the S&P 500 (see chart here) closed lower by 58 points, the Nasdaq Composite (see chart here) fell 148 points and the small-cap Russell 2000 (see chart here) closed yesterday down 34 points. Now if you have been following me for a while you know I am a big fan of pullbacks in the market. However, I don’t like seeing the cause of this latest sell-off. I would much rather prefer to see the market retrace in a healthy manner versus a health crisis.

Some of the fear the market is experiencing is warranted. Companies are suspending business to and with China which clearly will have an impact on their businesses.  For example airline stocks have taken it on the chin recently. Most major airlines have suspended service to China and in some instances for months. Entertainment companies such as Disney (DIS:NYSE), Carnival Cruises (CCL:NYSE) and Royal Caribbean (RCL:NYSE) are also feeling the pressure due to closures and suspension of services. These companies and companies alike are doing the responsible thing here until the World Health Organization establishes the proper plan to contain the spread of this fast moving virus.

To that end, yes the coronavirus is a global threat for now. Past viruses such as the coronavirus are serious health risks and this one is no different. However, for market participants past events like this have ended up being opportunities in the marketplace. Of course the highest priority here is to not only stop the spread of the virus, but to find a swift treatment for it. Until then I do expect continuing volatility in the markets.

In the short term my plan is to be patient and not to act in haste. Historically when situations like this occur and then move to a respite, markets begin to settle in. Good luck to all 🙂

~George