Gold & Silver Stole The Show!

Despite the overall markets booking impressive gains in 2025, it was gold and silver that stole the show. Gold (see chart here) went up and eye-popping 65% last year, while silver (see chart here) booked an unbelievable 135% return in 2025. That’s right, 65% and 135% annual returns on these precious metals (click here) which also set all-time highs. This type of parabolic move in gold and silver has not been seen in decades.

The overall markets also posted double digit gains with the Dow Jones Industrial Average (see chart here) gaining over 13% on the year, the S&P 500 (see chart here) booked a 16% plus gain, the Nasdaq Composite (see chart here) gained 20% and the small-cap Russell 2000 (see chart here) closed the year up 12%.

Needless the say the bulls were very happy with how the markets fared last year. As we head into the new year, I am looking for a similar backdrop at least at it pertains to the overall markets. In December, not only did the Federal Reserve cut interest rates they moved from quantitative tightening (QT) to quantitative easing (QE). This move essentially is going to flood the system with liquidity and capital flow that will move into the markets over the course of time. I know we are near or at record highs but there is an old saying on Wall Street and that is “don’t fight the Fed”. Meaning, when the Federal Reserve begins to implement accommodative policies such as moving from “QT” to “QE” markets typically respond favorably.

Make no mistake there are still risks out there from the geo-political backdrop to the instability out of Washington D.C. Without question when this volatility comes in and it will, the markets will act accordingly. So as much as this bull market can still run, I expect dramatic selloffs along the way.

Wishing everyone a safe and most prosperous New Year 🙂

~George

Within Striking Distance!

In my previous blog, I said I wouldn’t be at the very least surprised if the Dow Jones Industrial Average (see chart below) closed above 25000 by year end. Well don’t look now, we are in striking distance of that milestone. In fact, if the Dow does close above 25000 by year end, it would have taken it a month to do so. That’s right only a month! In late November the Dow closed above the 24000 mark for the very first time and now its a mere 350 points away from yet another 1000 point gain. What’s impressive about this 1000 point clip is how fast it is getting there, I mean a month? This is unprecedented for sure. Market observers are expecting this insatiable bull market to keep on truckin into the end of the year, especially if the tax bill goes live! The S&P 500 (chart) and the Nasdaq Composite (chart) also closed at records highs on Friday with the S&P 500 closing in on the 2700 mark and the Nasdaq approaching the 7000 mark. The small-cap Russell 2000 (chart) is lagging behind but on Friday the Russell did find support at its 200-day moving average to close higher on the week.

With only 2 weeks left in the trading year what can investors or traders expect? More of the same or a sell the news type event? The news being the proposed tax bill getting through and going live. I truly don’t know? However, when you add seasonality into the mix with December being one of the strongest months for stocks on the year, I would not be surprised if the Dow Jones Industrial Average does indeed eclipse the 25000 mark. We could also see the S&P 500 overtake 2700 and the Nasdaq surpass 7000. Now if there is a snag in getting the tax bill through or if it ends up being a “sell the news” type of event meaning the proposed tax bill does go through by year end, then I will have a much different take heading into the new year. Both Paula and I wish everyone the healthiest and happiest holiday season 🙂

~George

Dow Jones Industrial Average - Paula Mahfouz