A recent attempt to breakout to all-time highs has seemingly failed. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (see chart below) , the tech-focused Nasdaq (see chart below), the S&P 500 (see chart below) and the small-cap Russell 2000 (see chart below) all appear to have “double topped” and have retreated to support lines. Without question growth concerns here in the United States are abound. These concerns escalated right after the release of May jobs report which was dismal to say the least. Couple these concerns with the potential of the United Kingdom leaving the European Union and its no wonder why the markets have pulled back over the past couple of weeks.
One of the risks to the markets that I highlighted in my last blog were interest rates. It appeared at the beginning of the month that the Federal Reserve and market pundits were all but certain that a rate hike would occur at today’s Federal Reserve meeting. Well thanks to the underwhelming May jobs report, no rate hike occurred this month and furthermore the Federal Reserve have lowered their outlook for any near term future increases! The Fed did say that they will be monitoring our economy and the data to guide them in their future policy decisions and sure enough they continue to stand by this protocol.
Now what? First for me, I want to see how the market reacts to next Thursday’s vote as to whether or not Britain leaves the European Union? Momentum does appear to be increasing for a British exit, which could lead to a global slowdown? Nobody knows if the referendum will pass or what type of effect this will have across the pond or here in the U.S. In the meantime, I will be monitoring the technical shape of our key indices and as you can see in the below charts each of these indexes have found support at either the 20-day, 50-day or 200-day moving averages.
Good luck to all 🙂
~George Mahfouz, Jr.
